Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 10.310184 12.050092 13.948755 16.168593 18.686526 21.447536 24.697678
2025-11-23 6.992212 9.251874 11.981109 15.491456 19.854876 25.066239 31.723593
2025-11-30 5.570996 8.125605 11.462584 16.073754 22.202834 29.983619 40.507889
2025-12-07 4.633664 7.341465 11.118539 16.654100 24.419081 34.762874 49.388486
2025-12-14 3.697692 6.336328 10.250079 16.304440 25.220390 37.616767 55.840009
2025-12-21 2.968275 5.478901 9.423314 15.836446 25.706390 39.964371 61.657155
2025-12-28 2.656876 5.220358 9.445167 16.600000 28.010767 45.005993 71.575583
2026-01-04 2.360030 4.925608 9.351797 17.141707 29.985027 49.661160 81.196715
2026-01-11 2.034042 4.514405 8.995600 17.190288 31.150118 53.132986 89.223397
2026-01-18 1.760217 4.148030 8.658476 17.213462 32.243493 56.527534 97.295079
2026-01-25 1.477135 3.706622 8.117081 16.801333 32.542816 58.641102 103.439533
2026-02-01 1.248266 3.332294 7.644880 16.447919 32.886966 60.814006 109.761574
2026-02-08 1.033544 2.958590 7.147373 16.043781 33.204888 63.135743 116.781231
2026-02-15 0.827704 2.558857 6.537366 15.354791 32.958917 64.523001 122.429926
2026-02-22 0.749191 2.458440 6.554527 15.929636 35.135292 70.284393 135.885572
2026-03-01 0.680133 2.366004 6.573314 16.504942 37.354532 76.257845 150.045638
2026-03-08 0.566978 2.119159 6.188608 16.157888 37.704859 78.839104 158.349430
2026-03-15 0.466937 1.880415 5.778465 15.693513 37.757964 80.848543 165.713157
2026-03-22 0.436226 1.851685 5.895388 16.451138 40.415133 87.943874 182.740351
2026-03-29 0.399126 1.791432 5.919088 16.988664 42.642852 94.337479 198.784958
2026-04-05 0.348481 1.668301 5.750288 17.036871 43.806933 98.714025 211.258127
2026-04-12 0.303876 1.552527 5.580880 17.059866 44.910423 103.026021 223.815172
2026-04-19 0.253461 1.395383 5.260000 16.650914 44.993191 105.270973 232.484686